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These reports were created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the world market for Manmade Artificial Thread and Yarn. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local outdated view. We have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for Manmade Artificial Thread and Yarn for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. We do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Who are the supplier countries? What is the value of the imports? How much do imports vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported Manmade Artificial Thread and Yarn. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of Manmade Artificial Thread and Yarn, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided.
The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "trade embargoes, labor disputes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 METHODOLOGY
2 THE WORLD MARKET FOR MANMADE ARTIFICIAL THREAD & YARN
3 EXPORTS
4 IMPORTS
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
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